Predict.gi — prediction markets in Gibraltar. Gibraltar is home to the world's first dedicated prediction market framework: the Prediction Market Regulations 2026 (LN.2026/176), made under the Gambling Act 2025 and in force from 13 July 2026.
The world's first is here. So are we.
In July 2026, Gibraltar became home to the world's first dedicated prediction market framework. Something is being built here for the operators who follow.
Doors like this open once. They are entered prepared, or not at all.
Predict.gi opens shortly.
If you are considering Gibraltar — or simply want to know when we open — write to us. Early correspondents are answered first.
Prediction markets, regulated in Gibraltar.
On 13 July 2026, Gibraltar brought into force the Prediction Market Regulations 2026 (Legal Notice LN.2026/176) under the Gambling Act 2025 — described as the world's first standalone regulatory framework dedicated to prediction markets. Predict.gi is being built here for the operators who follow.
Where is the world's first prediction market framework?
Gibraltar. On 13 July 2026, HM Government of Gibraltar brought into force the Prediction Market Regulations 2026 (LN.2026/176), made under the Gambling Act 2025. It is the first regime in the world to treat prediction markets as a distinct regulated activity rather than as generic betting.
What law regulates prediction markets in Gibraltar?
The Prediction Market Regulations 2026 (LN.2026/176), made under the Gambling Act 2025 and in force from 13 July 2026. Under the regulations, prediction market activity is a distinct activity — separate from betting, gaming and lotteries, and is exempt from Gibraltar's general prohibition on gambling only when carried on under authorisation.
Do you need a licence to run a prediction market in Gibraltar?
Yes. Operating a prediction market in or from Gibraltar requires a prediction market authorisation from the Gambling Authority, and the operator must appear on a public register. Every class of prediction market contract must be approved or certified before it can be offered, and contracts must be capable of objective settlement and resistant to manipulation.
The Authority has up to six months to decide a complete application. Certain decisions may be appealed to the Supreme Court within 28 days.
Can prediction markets in Gibraltar settle in stablecoins?
Yes. The regulations expressly permit digital-asset payments, including stablecoins, for funding accounts, posting collateral, settling trades and processing withdrawals — subject to anti-money-laundering, sanctions and client-asset safeguarding requirements under the Proceeds of Crime Act 2015 and the Sanctions Act 2019.
What is Predict.gi?
Predict.gi is a Gibraltar-based venture focused on the licensing and compliance pathway for prediction market operators under the Prediction Market Regulations 2026. It is an independent initiative and is not affiliated with any existing licensed operator. Predict.gi opens shortly — early correspondents are answered first.
Informational summary of Gibraltar's prediction market regime as at July 2026. Not legal advice. Authorisation questions should be directed to a Gibraltar-qualified adviser. Write to puneet@neurarock.gi.